Lincolnshire Police: move to enhanced phase of monitoring

Published on: 6 December 2024

Letter information

From:
Roy Wilsher OBE QFSM
His Majesty’s Inspector of Constabulary

To:
Paul Gibson
Chief Constable, Lincolnshire Police

CC:
Marc Jones
Police and Crime Commissioner for Lincolnshire

Sent on:
6 December 2024

Move to enhanced phase of monitoring

As I explained when we spoke earlier this week, after careful consideration, HM Chief Inspector (HMCI) Andy Cooke has decided to place Lincolnshire Police into our enhanced monitoring process, Engage.

I am writing to invite you to the next meeting of the Policing Performance Oversight Group (PPOG), which will be held on 22 January 2025.

We also intend to publish our decision to place the force into Engage at 10am on Friday 6 December 2024. This will coincide with the publication of the five causes of concern relating to the force, the details of which are included as an annex to this letter. The cumulative impact of these causes of concern reaches the threshold to be considered accelerated, in that we have identified significant service failures or risks to public safety. As such, they are being published in advance of the full inspection report.

Our monitoring process

Part of the way we make sure our inspection activity is being directed to where it is needed most is by operating a continuous monitoring approach. HM Inspectors (HMIs) routinely monitor the performance of all police forces in England and Wales and discuss this at the HMI Monitoring Group (HMG). There are two stages in the monitoring process: Scan and Engage. Scan is the default phase of monitoring, for which we use a range of data and information to identify potential areas of concern. All forces are in Scan by default.

HMCI may place forces into Engage when there are causes of concern about their efficiency, effectiveness or legitimacy that appear to need closer scrutiny. HMCI considers all circumstances when deciding whether a force should be moved into Engage, including our purpose of making communities safer.

In Engage, we ask forces to develop an improvement plan. We support the force by carrying out revisits to review the progress it has made against its improvement plan. The force may also receive support from stakeholders across the policing sector.

Reasons for placing the force into Engage

In October 2024, we carried out our police efficiency, effectiveness and legitimacy (PEEL) inspection of the force. During that inspection, we identified five causes of concern. On 3 December 2024, HMCI chaired an HMG meeting. At this meeting, he concluded that on the basis of these concerns, Lincolnshire Police should be moved into Engage.

On 6 December 2024, we will publish these five causes of concern on an accelerated basis. We will update our website to list these as the reason why Lincolnshire Police has been moved from Scan to Engage.

I am issuing causes of concern because:

  • the force needs to attend calls for service in line with its published target attendance times;
  • the force needs to improve how it allocates, supervises and carries out investigations to make sure victims get the support they need;
  • the force needs to make sure that it has the capacity and capability to manage the risks posed to the public by registered sex offenders;
  • the force needs to improve its understanding of demand; and
  • the force doesn’t have adequate strategic plans in place.

Policing Performance Oversight Group

All forces that are in our Engage phase are discussed at PPOG, which HMCI chairs. PPOG provides a forum to support the force to find ways to improve and resolve the causes of concern we have identified. Its members consist of HMIs and representatives from the Home Office, the National Police Chiefs’ Council, the Association of Police and Crime Commissioners and the College of Policing.

I would therefore like to invite you and your police and crime commissioner to attend the next PPOG meeting. This is scheduled for 22 January 2025 at our office in London. Our monitoring team will be in touch to arrange attendance.

Ahead of the meeting, you will need to carry out a comprehensive analysis of the problems we have identified and develop an improvement plan to set out how you will address the causes of concern. You will need to submit this plan to me, copied to our monitoring team, at least ten working days before PPOG takes place.

At the meeting, I will first provide an overview of the performance of the force. You will have the opportunity to set out to the group the operating context of the force and your plans to improve. You are welcome to use visual aids. Your police and crime commissioner will have the opportunity to make observations. And HMCI will invite comments and offers of support from the Home Office, the National Police Chiefs’ Council, the Association of Police and Crime Commissioners and the College of Policing. Finally, I will make a recommendation to HMCI, who will decide on next steps.

Conclusion

I will be monitoring the performance of the force closely over the coming months. Before I can recommend to HMCI that the force be moved back to Scan, I must be satisfied that the force has made sufficient improvement against the causes of concern and that these improvements are sustainable. In due course, we can discuss in detail the assurances I will need for each cause of concern.

If you would like to discuss this letter, or if I can be of any further assistance, please don’t hesitate to contact me. I have copied this letter to your police and crime commissioner, Marc Jones.

Annex A: Lincolnshire Police causes of concern

Introduction

In our inspections, if we identify a more serious, critical or systemic shortcoming in a force or service’s practice, policy or performance, we will report it as a cause of concern. A cause of concern will always be accompanied by one or more recommendations.

When we identify causes of concern during our inspections, we normally provide details in the subsequent inspection report. However, the cumulative impact of these causes of concern reaches the threshold for their publication to be accelerated, in that we have identified significant service failures or risks to public safety. As such, they are being published in advance of the full inspection report.

We have issued five causes of concern to Lincolnshire Police because the force’s response is inadequate in several areas. This is limiting its ability to provide an effective and efficient service.

Cause of concern

The force needs to attend calls for service in line with its published target attendance times

This was an area we identified in our 2021/22 police effectiveness, efficiency and legitimacy (PEEL) inspection as requiring improvement. But in this inspection, we found the force’s performance has deteriorated further.

The force has a graded response policy, which is clearly defined. But in our victim service assessment, we found that the force attended calls within the required time in only 49 out of 93 cases. This means it had met its graded response targets in only 52.6 percent of these cases.

We found that the force wasn’t managing its response deployment well enough. In our victim service assessment, we found effective and appropriate supervision for response deployment in only 14 out of 52 cases.

The force isn’t updating callers about delays in the police attending. In our victim service assessment, we found that callers were updated about delays in only 29 of 48 cases. Not attending calls promptly increases the likelihood of evidence being lost, which can have a negative effect on victims and reduce confidence in the police.

In June 2024, the force identified it had response time problems and set up a strategic management group to address them. This group focused on changes to the force graded response policy. Non-priority calls are now dealt with by an incident resolution team in the force control room, instead of being allocated to response patrols. The force also introduced Operation Resource over the summer months, using overtime so that additional officers could work on reducing the backlog of calls requiring police attendance.

Although the force has introduced strategies to resolve these issues, they haven’t led to improvements. Attendance times for emergency and priority incidents are still outside target times.

The force uses an IT system called Guardian in its control room to manage calls and dispatch police resources. This system identifies which police patrols are available to attend incidents. But we found dispatch personnel weren’t always using this information to assign patrols to incidents and were making general requests by radio for any free patrols to volunteer to attend incidents. Although managers told us this practice had stopped, during our fieldwork we found that it was continuing.

Recommendations

Within six months from the date of publication of this letter, Lincolnshire Police should:

  • attend calls for service in line with its published attendance times;
  • make sure it updates callers if there are delays in attending an incident;
  • make sure it effectively supervises deployment decisions in the control room;
  • make sure that call handlers use information on the Guardian system to directly assign available response officers to incidents; and
  • have escalation processes in place to make sure it prioritises overdue attendance at an incident.

Cause of concern

The force needs to improve how it allocates, supervises and carries out investigations to make sure victims get the support they need

We found that the force hadn’t made enough progress in improving the standard of investigations since our 2021/22 PEEL inspection. As a result, not enough offenders are being brought to justice.

Although the force does have governance arrangements and processes in place, we found crime investigations weren’t managed as effectively as they could be. We found that some processes were missing or ineffective or weren’t clearly defined.

We found that the force wasn’t always applying its crime allocation policy consistently. This means that some investigations are being allocated to officers who don’t have the appropriate level of training and accreditation for investigating more serious and complex crimes.

We acknowledge that the force does a good job of investigating many of the most serious crimes. But in our victim service assessment, we found only 69 out of 101 cases were effective investigations. We also found only 40 out of 61 cases had an investigation plan. Investigation plans, outlined in the College of Policing’s authorised professional practice, support investigators to make sure they make the most of all available opportunities to gather evidence.

We found cases that had significant failings and in which victims had been let down. In our victim service assessment, we found effective supervision in only 45 out of 83 cases. During our inspection, supervisors told us they didn’t have time to complete all the supervisory tasks that they should. As a result, the force isn’t always achieving acceptable outcomes for victims of crime. The number of crimes that the force solves following investigations is low.

In our victim service assessment, we found force had only applied the correct outcome in 56 out of 80 cases and supervision of the outcome took place in 62 out of 79 cases. We found supervisors sometimes applied incorrect outcome codes for crimes, applying outcome 15 (evidential difficulties) instead of outcome 16 (victim doesn’t support a prosecution). Supervisors considered the force’s crime management bureau criteria for an outcome 16 too rigid and difficult to meet and instead selected an easier but unsuitable outcome when finalising crimes. The force has the highest rate for outcome 15 of all forces in England and Wales. Senior leaders in the force acknowledge that this is likely to be a result of the difficulties recording outcome 16.

Lincolnshire Police is also failing to support victims. Under the revised Code of Practice for Victims of Crime, all victims are entitled to a needs assessment. The police should carry out an assessment early in a case to establish whether victims need any extra support during the investigation or later in court. Of the 69 relevant cases we reviewed, only 5 had clearly recorded needs assessments. For victims entitled to an enhanced level of service because of their age or vulnerability, only 7 out of 42 relevant cases had needs assessments recorded.

Recommendations

Within six months from the date of publication of this letter, Lincolnshire Police should make sure:

  • investigations are allocated in a timely way to officers and teams that have enough skills and experience to carry out quality investigations;
  • it creates investigation plans when applicable, with supervisory oversight so that it takes all investigative opportunities;
  • it is using outcomes that comply with force and national policies; and
  • make sure that a victim needs assessment is carried out and a victim contract is completed where appropriate.

Cause of concern

The force needs to make sure that it has the capacity and capability to manage the risks posed to the public by registered sex offenders

All police, probation and prison services use the Violent and Sex Offender Register (ViSOR) database to manage the risk posed to the public by convicted sexual and violent offenders. The police create a record on the active risk management system (ARMS) that sets out the potential risk that an offender poses. This should be followed by a risk management plan (RMP) detailing how the risk will be actively managed by the police and partner agencies, such as the Probation Service.

At the time of our inspection, we found that personnel in the force’s management of sexual and violent offenders (MOSOVO) team didn’t have capacity to manage and reduce the backlog of ARMS and RMPs. This had resulted in an overdue workload backlog that the force had been unable to reduce over a four-month period. We found that there weren’t enough offender managers and supervisors to address the backlog and that they had already raised these resourcing gaps with senior leaders.

We found that offender managers in the MOSOVO team had high caseloads, with a ratio of 1 offender manager to 65 offenders in the community. These managers also had a further caseload of offenders in custody or living abroad, which increased the ratio to 1 manager to 86 offenders. Nationally, forces are working towards a ratio of 1 manager to 50 offenders in the community.

During our inspection, we found that not all personnel in the MOSOVO team had the appropriate level of training and accreditation to carry out their roles. They should be accredited under the College of Policing professionalising investigations programme level 1, which covers priority and volume crime investigations. At the time of our inspection, the force accepted this gap around capability but had no definite timescales in place to provide the necessary training.

The national guideline on target completion rates for ARMS and RMPs is 95 percent. We found that the force completion rate was below this level, at 88.9 percent for ARMS and 93 percent for RMPs. However, to achieve this level the force suspended some visits on Probation-led nominals. Again, this indicates a lack of capacity in the MOSOVO team.

During our inspection, we found a large backlog of over 3,000 supervisory reviews on the ViSOR database. After we told the force about this, it made significant efforts to reduce the backlog. But it still had 843 overdue reviews after a three-month period. Supervisors need a manageable number of reviews so that they can provide meaningful reviews and oversight of ongoing offender management. It is vital that the force has the capacity and capability to manage the ViSOR database so it can understand the threat, harm and risk posed by offenders who are in the community.

Offender managers and supervisors told us backlogs meant visits to offenders involving the Probation Service as the lead agency had been suspended. We were told that this would be a temporary measure until backlogs were reduced and that some degree of risk assessment would be carried out to determine which offenders would only receive phone calls rather than personal visits.

The police must visit all offenders regardless of whether the force is the lead agency. The police have the powers to enter homes and carry out checks in accordance with court orders that restrict an offender’s activity, such as Sexual Harm Prevention Orders. So, by not visiting offenders, the force could potentially miss an escalation or concern and put the public at risk.

Recommendations

Within six months from the date of publication of this letter, Lincolnshire Police should make sure:

  • it has enough personnel and supervisors in its management of sexual and violent offenders (MOSOVO) team to manage registered sex offenders;
  • all MOSOVO personnel are trained and accredited to College of Policing professionalising investigations programme level 1;
  • it completes active risk management system and risk management plan visits to avoid large, overdue workloads and its active risk management system and risk management plan completion rate is 95 percent or above;
  • MOSOVO supervisors have manageable workloads and Violent and Sex Offender Register (ViSOR) supervisor tasks are completed within 28 days of submission; and
  • it carries out all visits to registered sex offenders in-person, including those that are led by the Probation Service.

Cause of concern

The force needs to improve its understanding of demand

This was an area for improvement we identified in our 2021/22 PEEL inspection. But it has not improved, so it is now a cause of concern.

The force doesn’t have enough capacity in the right places, which is affecting force performance. For example, it isn’t meeting response time frames, there are delays in investigations and some specialist services lack capacity.

During our inspection, we also found that the force was extensively using overtime to meet demand. The force told us the overtime budget was nearly exhausted mid-year. This isn’t a sustainable approach to meeting demand in key areas such as response and crime investigations. It also places more financial pressure on the force and additional pressure on those officers and staff who are working extra hours.

The force should continue to review its operating model and implement any changes efficiently. It should make sure it has effective governance processes and enough resources to oversee its change programme. If the force has the right people in the right places, it will help it to make sustainable and cost-effective improvements in performance. The failure to plan effectively could prevent the force from providing its community, including its most vulnerable people, with the expected standard of service.

Recommendations

Within six months from the date of publication of this letter, Lincolnshire Police should make sure:

  • senior leaders can access accurate data and analysis so they can identify demand pressures and address current challenges related to capacity; and
  • project teams have effective governance in place to oversee change programmes and have enough capacity to complete their work efficiently and effectively, including the operating model review.

Cause of concern

The force doesn’t have adequate strategic plans in place

Senior leaders in the force haven’t had enough control over strategic planning and oversight since our 2021/22 inspection. The lack of effective governance and management of force performance has negatively affected almost all areas of the force.

Although the force has a strategic savings and efficiency plan, we have limited confidence that the plan will lead to an efficient and effective service. We found that the force had been frequently using its reserves to support its expenditure for some time, which isn’t sustainable. This lack of effective planning is reflected in its operating costs. In the year ending 31 March 2024, the force spent £74,000 per member of the workforce, which is higher than most other police forces.

Despite the financial pressures we found several areas of inefficiency, including the force’s vehicle fleet and estates strategy. The force told us it had closed 17 of its underused buildings to save costs, but it hasn’t sold any of these buildings. Some of the remaining 37 operational buildings are underused and have few people working from them. The police and crime commissioner is responsible for the estate, but senior leaders are responsible for operational efficiency and value for money. The force should review how it uses its estate and its management strategy so that it can better meet current and future needs.

Senior leaders in the force lack oversight of some areas of expenditure, such as the vehicle fleet. The arrangements, at the time of our inspection, for managing fleet size and allocation were ineffective. At the time of our inspection, the force had 462 vehicles, but these were only used 5.7 percent of the time on average. The force should review its fleet management plans to make sure its investments provide value for money and the workforce has what it needs to be efficient and productive.

Lincolnshire Police receives one of the lowest levels of funding per 1,000 population compared to most other forces in England and Wales. But its financial plans aren’t aligned with other corporate plans such as workforce, IT, fleet and estates strategies. It isn’t clear how the force can continue to provide the current level of policing within its anticipated budgets. And it also it doesn’t fully understand its demand and operating costs. This means that the force can’t be sure that its current operating model will help it to meet future demand. The failure to plan effectively means the force isn’t helping to provide its community, including its most vulnerable members, with the expected standard of service.

Recommendations

Within six months from the date of publication of this letter, Lincolnshire Police should:

  • develop clear and aligned finance, savings and efficiency plans to show what is required to provide a service that meets the policing needs of the community, both now and in the future; and
  • develop departmental operational and strategic plans that are aligned and informed by accurate information and a detailed performance framework.

This notification of causes of concern constitutes a report under section 54 of the Police Act 1996. As they also contain recommendations, the local policing body is required to respond under section 55 of the Police Act 1996, within 56 days of the publication of this letter.

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Lincolnshire Police: move to enhanced phase of monitoring